Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-11-03 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 48.6%

CHI: 51.4%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.33

CHI: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Stat	SEA	CHI
Season SV%	0.903	0.873
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	4.02

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	30	29	1	96.7%	3.39	2	2.39
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	24	21	3	87.5%	2.98	3	-0.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SEA at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	SEA 2 - 4 CHI	CHI	SEA
2025-11-20	CHI 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-03	SEA 3 - 1 CHI	SEA	CHI
2025-03-18	CHI 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-12-19	CHI 3 - 1 SEA	CHI	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	11	0	0.43
1	CHI	13	1	0.83
2	SEA	7	1	0.74
2	CHI	20	0	1.55
3	SEA	16	2	1.80
3	CHI	12	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown