BUF vs UTA - 2025-11-04
2025-11-04 • KeyBank Center
BUF 1 - 2 UTA
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 61.3%
UTA: 38.7%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.29
UTA: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 20-11-2 | 0.898 SV% | 2.63 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 03:58 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:50 | BUF | Goal |
| 4 | 00:47 | UTA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
BUF 1 - 2 UTA
Expected: 3.3 - 3.3