Boston Bruins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-11-04 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Boston Bruins (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 60.2%

BOS: 39.8%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.52

BOS: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYI at home vs BOS: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	NYI 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	NYI
2025-11-04	NYI 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	NYI
2025-10-28	BOS 5 - 2 NYI	BOS	NYI
2025-02-27	BOS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-05	BOS 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
2	05:11	NYI	Goal
2	12:21	NYI	Goal
2	13:06	NYI	Goal
2	17:29	NYI	Goal
3	05:05	NYI	Goal
3	15:06	NYI	Goal
5	00:00	NYI	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6