Boston Bruins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-11-04 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Boston Bruins (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 52.4%

BOS: 47.6%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.33

BOS: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs BOS: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	NYI 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	NYI
2025-11-04	NYI 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	NYI
2025-10-28	BOS 5 - 2 NYI	BOS	NYI
2025-02-27	BOS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-05	BOS 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	6	0	0.32
1	BOS	7	0	0.25
2	NYI	25	2	1.93
2	BOS	16	3	1.68
3	NYI	15	1	1.15
3	BOS	15	1	1.13
4	NYI	3	1	0.39
4	BOS	3	0	0.23
5	NYI	3	0	0.23
5	BOS	2	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0