Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-11-04 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 0 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYR: 40.2%

CAR: 59.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.11

CAR: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	NYR	CAR
Season SV%	0.910	0.899
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.51	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	32	29	3	90.6%	2.96	1	-0.04
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	26	26	0	100.0%	2.34	1	2.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NYR at home vs CAR: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	17	0	1.36
1	CAR	22	0	1.10
2	NYR	15	1	0.87
2	CAR	18	0	0.46
3	NYR	7	0	0.11
3	CAR	9	1	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown