Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-11-04 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 0 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 52.8%
CAR: 47.2%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.89
CAR: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | NYR | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.933 | 0.944 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 41% • NYR at home vs CAR: 3-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NYR 0 - 2 CAR | CAR | NYR |
| 2025-12-29 | CAR 3 - 2 NYR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-26 | CAR 2 - 4 NYR | NYR | CAR |
| 2025-11-04 | NYR 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | NYR |
| 2025-04-12 | CAR 7 - 3 NYR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:30 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 17:07 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:21 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 0 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 2.7