Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-11-04 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers (SO)

Win Probability

DAL: 66.2%

EDM: 33.8%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.48

EDM: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	DAL 7 - 2 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-11-25	EDM 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	EDM
2025-11-04	DAL 4 - 3 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-05-29	DAL 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-05-27	EDM 4 - 1 DAL	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	15	4	1.87
1	EDM	12	1	0.86
2	DAL	14	3	1.49
2	EDM	12	0	0.92
3	DAL	9	3	1.05
3	EDM	15	1	1.00
4	DAL	4	1	0.62
4	EDM	2	0	0.17
5	DAL	3	2	1.97
5	EDM	2	1	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1