Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-11-04 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Nashville Predators (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 67.0%

NSH: 33.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.41

NSH: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Stat	MIN	NSH
Season SV%	0.912	0.875
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.47	3.29

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	34	32	2	94.1%	3.45	2	1.45
NSH	Justus Annunen	25	22	3	88.0%	4.24	2	1.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • MIN at home vs NSH: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NSH 2 - 1 MIN	NSH	MIN
2026-02-04	NSH 5 - 6 MIN	MIN	NSH
2025-12-23	MIN 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	MIN
2025-11-04	MIN 3 - 2 NSH	MIN	MIN
2025-01-18	NSH 6 - 2 MIN	NSH	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	16	0	0.80
1	NSH	18	1	1.34
2	MIN	9	0	0.74
2	NSH	19	1	1.41
3	MIN	14	0	0.99
3	NSH	13	0	0.67
4	MIN	5	2	1.70
4	NSH	1	0	0.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8