Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-11-04 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 0 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 63.9%
DET: 36.1%
Expected Goals
VGK: 2.89
DET: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 4.6
Over 5.5: 37%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | VGK | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.971 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs DET: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | DET 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-11-04 | VGK 1 - 0 DET | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-22 | VGK 6 - 3 DET | VGK | DET |
| 2025-03-16 | DET 3 - 0 VGK | DET | DET |
| 2024-03-09 | VGK 5 - 3 DET | VGK | VGK |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 0 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9
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