Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-11-04 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 0 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 57.0%
DET: 43.0%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.37
DET: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | VGK | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.971 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • VGK at home vs DET: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | VGK 1 - 0 DET | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-22 | VGK 6 - 3 DET | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-16 | DET 3 - 0 VGK | DET | DET |
| 2024-03-09 | VGK 5 - 3 DET | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-01-27 | DET 5 - 2 VGK | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 13:45 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 0 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8