Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-11-04 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 0 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

VGK: 61.4%

DET: 38.6%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.83

DET: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs DET: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	DET 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	DET
2025-11-04	VGK 1 - 0 DET	VGK	VGK
2025-03-22	VGK 6 - 3 DET	VGK	VGK
2025-03-16	DET 3 - 0 VGK	DET	DET
2024-03-09	VGK 5 - 3 DET	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	17	2	1.44
1	DET	15	0	0.52
2	VGK	14	2	1.17
2	DET	13	1	0.69
3	VGK	18	1	1.62
3	DET	18	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 0 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9