Utah Hockey Club at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2025-11-05 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 57.5%
UTA: 42.5%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.21
UTA: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | TOR | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.950 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • TOR at home vs UTA: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | UTA 6 - 1 TOR | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-05 | TOR 5 - 3 UTA | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-03-10 | UTA 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | UTA |
| 2024-11-24 | TOR 3 - 2 UTA | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:49 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 04:46 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 08:56 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:27 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 08:06 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:40 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:01 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:53 | TOR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7