Utah Hockey Club at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-11-05 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

TOR: 52.5%

UTA: 47.5%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.12

UTA: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 4.8

Over 5.5: 38%

Over 6.5: 24%

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • TOR at home vs UTA: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	UTA 6 - 1 TOR	UTA	UTA
2025-11-05	TOR 5 - 3 UTA	TOR	TOR
2025-03-10	UTA 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	UTA
2024-11-24	TOR 3 - 2 UTA	TOR	TOR

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.1 - 2.6