San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-11-05 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 1 - 6 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 54.8%
SJS: 45.2%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.66
SJS: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | SEA | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.934 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SEA at home vs SJS: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | SJS 2 - 4 SEA | SEA | SJS |
| 2025-11-15 | SEA 4 - 1 SJS | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-11-05 | SEA 1 - 6 SJS | SJS | SEA |
| 2025-04-05 | SJS 1 - 5 SEA | SEA | SJS |
| 2025-01-30 | SEA 6 - 2 SJS | SEA | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:42 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 16:30 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 01:08 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 11:21 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:54 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:24 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 01:02 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 1 - 6 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 2.7 - 3.0