San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-11-05 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 6 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 51.2%

SJS: 48.8%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.21

SJS: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

Stat	SEA	SJS
Season SV%	0.903	0.896
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	3.36

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	23	17	6	73.9%	2.61	2	-3.39
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	30	29	1	96.7%	3.04	2	2.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SEA at home vs SJS: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	16	0	0.81
1	SJS	8	0	0.36
2	SEA	12	0	0.40
2	SJS	12	0	0.76
3	SEA	20	2	1.84
3	SJS	13	2	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown