Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-11-06 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 44.1%

OTT: 55.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.15

OTT: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • BOS at home vs OTT: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	BOS 2 - 6 OTT	OTT	BOS
2025-11-13	OTT 5 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-06	BOS 3 - 2 OTT	BOS	OTT
2025-10-27	OTT 7 - 2 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-03-13	OTT 6 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	13	1	0.52
1	OTT	7	0	0.26
2	BOS	15	1	1.49
2	OTT	9	0	0.16
3	BOS	5	0	0.25
3	OTT	14	0	0.94
4	BOS	7	1	0.75
4	OTT	4	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3