St. Louis Blues at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-11-06 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 51.8%

STL: 48.2%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.37

STL: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs STL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-11-06	BUF 0 - 3 STL	STL	BUF
2024-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-11-14	BUF 4 - 3 STL	BUF	BUF
2024-02-10	BUF 1 - 3 STL	STL	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	11	0	0.67
1	STL	7	0	0.58
2	BUF	11	0	0.51
2	STL	13	0	0.49
3	BUF	19	1	1.55
3	STL	6	1	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.4 - 3.2