Montreal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-11-06 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 48.8%

MTL: 51.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.63

MTL: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs MTL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	MTL 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-04-04	NJD 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NJD
2025-11-06	NJD 4 - 3 MTL	NJD	MTL
2025-02-08	MTL 0 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-01-25	MTL 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	10	0	0.64
1	MTL	8	0	0.69
2	NJD	17	0	1.14
2	MTL	10	1	0.82
3	NJD	10	0	0.52
3	MTL	10	0	0.55
4	NJD	2	0	0.27
4	MTL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.6 - 3.3