Minnesota Wild at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-11-06 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 74.4%

MIN: 25.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.80

MIN: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Stat	CAR	MIN
Season SV%	0.865	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.38	2.47

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	24	21	3	87.5%	2.22	1	-0.78
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	27	23	4	85.2%	4.73	5	0.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CAR at home vs MIN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	MIN 4 - 3 CAR	MIN	CAR
2025-11-06	CAR 4 - 3 MIN	CAR	CAR
2025-02-06	MIN 2 - 1 CAR	MIN	CAR
2025-01-04	CAR 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	CAR
2024-02-27	MIN 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	1	1.51
1	MIN	5	1	0.58
2	CAR	24	1	1.53
2	MIN	10	0	0.68
3	CAR	19	3	1.69
3	MIN	20	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown