Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-11-06 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 5 - 7 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 54.9%
ANA: 45.1%
Expected Goals
DAL: 2.89
ANA: 1.91
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 24%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | DAL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.750 | 0.828 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • DAL at home vs ANA: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | ANA 3 - 1 DAL | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-19 | ANA 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | ANA |
| 2025-11-06 | DAL 5 - 7 ANA | ANA | DAL |
| 2025-03-18 | DAL 4 - 3 ANA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-04 | ANA 2 - 1 DAL | ANA | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:49 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 16:18 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:16 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 02:48 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:19 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:07 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:05 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 00:16 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 01:50 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 09:22 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:39 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:07 | ANA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 4.8
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 5 - 7 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 2.9 - 1.9