Florida Panthers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-11-06 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 51.4%

FLA: 48.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.13

FLA: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Stat	LAK	FLA
Season SV%	0.901	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.70	2.80

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Anton Forsberg	24	19	5	79.2%	2.35	2	-2.65
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	26	24	2	92.3%	2.15	1	0.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • LAK at home vs FLA: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-06	LAK 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	LAK
2025-12-17	FLA 3 - 2 LAK	FLA	FLA
2025-11-06	LAK 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	LAK
2025-01-29	FLA 3 - 0 LAK	FLA	FLA
2025-01-22	LAK 2 - 1 FLA	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	16	1	1.19
1	FLA	11	1	0.59
2	LAK	9	0	0.24
2	FLA	10	1	0.81
3	LAK	11	0	0.72
3	FLA	13	0	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown