New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-11-07 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 New York Rangers

Win Probability

DET: 40.1%

NYR: 59.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.78

NYR: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • DET at home vs NYR: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	DET	17	1.02
1	NYR	13	0.81
2	DET	14	0.81
2	NYR	21	1.22
3	DET	12	0.51
3	NYR	12	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4