Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-11-07 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 0 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 56.0%

CHI: 44.0%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.17

CHI: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CGY at home vs CHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CHI 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-11-18	CHI 5 - 2 CGY	CHI	CGY
2025-11-07	CGY 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	CGY
2025-01-13	CHI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2024-12-21	CGY 6 - 4 CHI	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	14	0	0.40
1	CHI	13	0	0.45
2	CGY	16	0	0.76
2	CHI	9	0	0.39
3	CGY	16	2	1.05
3	CHI	12	1	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 0 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1