Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-11-07 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 49.3%

WPG: 50.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.96

WPG: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SJS at home vs WPG: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	WPG 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	WPG
2026-03-01	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-11-07	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-02-24	WPG 2 - 1 SJS	WPG	WPG
2024-12-17	SJS 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	0	0.98
1	WPG	15	1	1.52
2	SJS	16	0	1.21
2	WPG	13	1	0.63
3	SJS	11	1	1.17
3	WPG	14	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1