Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-11-08 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 56.6%

PIT: 43.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.32

PIT: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

PIT

Arturs Silovs - 7-5-6 | 0.886 SV% | 3.20 GAA

Stat	NJD	PIT
Season SV%	0.912	0.886
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.52	3.20

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	36	35	1	97.2%	2.84	1	1.84
PIT	Arturs Silovs	26	23	3	88.5%	4.11	3	1.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • NJD at home vs PIT: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	11	1	0.84
1	PIT	15	0	0.91
2	NJD	10	0	0.73
2	PIT	17	1	1.07
3	NJD	12	0	0.75
3	PIT	10	0	0.40
4	NJD	3	0	0.11
4	PIT	4	0	0.32
5	NJD	2	2	1.67
5	PIT	2	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9