Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-11-08 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 5 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

TOR: 64.3%

BOS: 35.7%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.87

BOS: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 54%

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • TOR at home vs BOS: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	BOS 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	BOS
2025-11-11	BOS 5 - 3 TOR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-08	TOR 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	TOR
2025-02-25	BOS 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	TOR
2025-01-04	TOR 6 - 4 BOS	TOR	TOR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	03:12	TOR	Goal
1	03:30	TOR	Goal
1	03:50	BOS	Goal
1	13:03	TOR	Goal
2	02:15	BOS	Goal
2	04:41	BOS	Goal
2	16:51	BOS	Goal
3	16:58	BOS	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.9 - 2.5