Utah Hockey Club at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-11-08 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 6 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 38.3%
UTA: 61.7%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.01
UTA: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | MTL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.881 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.912 | 0.750 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs UTA: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | UTA 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-11-08 | MTL 6 - 2 UTA | MTL | UTA |
| 2025-01-14 | UTA 3 - 5 MTL | MTL | UTA |
| 2024-11-26 | MTL 2 - 3 UTA | UTA | UTA |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 6 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2
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