New York Islanders at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-11-08 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 0 - 5 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 56.2%

NYI: 43.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.11

NYI: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs NYI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	14	2	1.15
1	NYI	16	1	0.97
2	NYR	11	0	0.63
2	NYI	16	0	1.00
3	NYR	23	0	1.41
3	NYI	8	1	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 0 - 5 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1