Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-11-08 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 9 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

EDM: 32.3%

COL: 67.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.51

COL: 4.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • EDM at home vs COL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	EDM 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-10	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL
2025-11-08	EDM 1 - 9 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-07	EDM 4 - 5 COL	COL	EDM
2025-01-16	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	9	0	0.32
1	COL	10	0	0.83
2	EDM	16	0	1.29
2	COL	16	2	2.55
3	EDM	12	1	0.78
3	COL	17	1	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 9 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.5 - 4.9