Columbus Blue Jackets at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-11-08 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 47.0%

CBJ: 53.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.08

CBJ: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Stat	VAN	CBJ
Season SV%	0.885	0.877
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.41	4.04

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	32	29	3	90.6%	4.01	3	1.01
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	24	20	4	83.3%	3.65	3	-0.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VAN at home vs CBJ: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CBJ 4 - 1 VAN	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-08	VAN 4 - 3 CBJ	VAN	CBJ
2025-03-28	CBJ 7 - 6 VAN	CBJ	CBJ
2024-12-06	VAN 5 - 2 CBJ	VAN	VAN
2024-01-27	VAN 5 - 4 CBJ	VAN	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	0	0.46
1	CBJ	17	0	1.25
2	VAN	16	1	1.60
2	CBJ	22	2	1.61
3	VAN	15	2	1.60
3	CBJ	14	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown