Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-11-08 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 59.8%

ANA: 40.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.46

ANA: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • VGK at home vs ANA: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	11	2	0.74
1	ANA	14	0	0.60
2	VGK	11	0	0.75
2	ANA	21	0	1.34
3	VGK	28	1	1.91
3	ANA	9	1	0.68
4	VGK	3	0	0.49
4	ANA	3	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7