Florida Panthers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-11-08 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 42.9%
FLA: 57.1%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.93
FLA: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs FLA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | FLA 1 - 4 SJS | SJS | FLA |
| 2025-11-08 | SJS 3 - 1 FLA | SJS | FLA |
| 2025-01-25 | SJS 2 - 7 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-12-07 | FLA 3 - 1 SJS | FLA | FLA |
| 2023-11-14 | SJS 3 - 5 FLA | FLA | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SJS | 16 | 2 | 1.60 |
| 1 | FLA | 13 | 0 | 0.73 |
| 2 | SJS | 5 | 1 | 0.48 |
| 2 | FLA | 25 | 2 | 1.99 |
| 3 | SJS | 10 | 3 | 1.65 |
| 3 | FLA | 20 | 2 | 1.50 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2
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