Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-11-09 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 55.6%

CHI: 44.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.24

CHI: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	CHI 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-11-09	DET 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	DET
2025-01-10	DET 5 - 3 CHI	DET	DET
2024-11-06	CHI 1 - 4 DET	DET	CHI
2024-02-25	CHI 2 - 3 DET	DET	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	19	2	1.52
1	CHI	11	0	0.72
2	DET	18	3	2.08
2	CHI	7	0	0.26
3	DET	30	2	2.04
3	CHI	8	2	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1