Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-11-09 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

PIT: 40.3%

LAK: 59.7%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.36

LAK: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PIT at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-09	PIT 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-16	LAK 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	LAK
2025-01-20	LAK 1 - 5 PIT	PIT	LAK
2024-12-17	PIT 3 - 2 LAK	PIT	LAK
2024-02-18	PIT 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	17	2	0.83
1	LAK	14	1	0.81
2	PIT	16	1	1.61
2	LAK	12	0	0.48
3	PIT	16	0	0.81
3	LAK	17	2	2.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1