Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2025-11-09 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 55.4%
LAK: 44.6%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.29
LAK: 3.42
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | PIT | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.939 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • PIT at home vs LAK: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | PIT 2 - 3 LAK | LAK | PIT |
| 2025-10-16 | LAK 2 - 4 PIT | PIT | LAK |
| 2025-01-20 | LAK 1 - 5 PIT | PIT | LAK |
| 2024-12-17 | PIT 3 - 2 LAK | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-02-18 | PIT 1 - 2 LAK | LAK | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:58 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 08:48 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 07:48 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 11:52 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 04:49 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.3 - 3.4