Utah Hockey Club at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-11-09 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 4 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 49.5%
UTA: 50.5%
Expected Goals
OTT: 2.51
UTA: 2.59
Total Goals
Median: 4.1
Over 5.5: 28%
Over 6.5: 18%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | OTT | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.881 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.970 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • OTT at home vs UTA: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | UTA 3 - 1 OTT | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-09 | OTT 4 - 2 UTA | OTT | UTA |
| 2025-01-26 | OTT 3 - 1 UTA | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-10-22 | UTA 0 - 4 OTT | OTT | OTT |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.1
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 4 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.5 - 2.6
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