Utah Hockey Club at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-11-09 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

OTT: 61.5%

UTA: 38.5%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.21

UTA: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • OTT at home vs UTA: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	UTA 3 - 1 OTT	UTA	UTA
2025-11-09	OTT 4 - 2 UTA	OTT	OTT
2025-01-26	OTT 3 - 1 UTA	OTT	OTT
2024-10-22	UTA 0 - 4 OTT	OTT	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	10	1	0.58
1	UTA	15	1	1.71
2	OTT	10	2	1.12
2	UTA	14	0	0.88
3	OTT	17	3	1.94
3	UTA	16	1	1.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8