Utah Hockey Club at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-11-09 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 4 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 57.9%
UTA: 42.1%
Expected Goals
OTT: 2.96
UTA: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | OTT | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.970 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • OTT at home vs UTA: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | UTA 3 - 1 OTT | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-09 | OTT 4 - 2 UTA | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-01-26 | OTT 3 - 1 UTA | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-10-22 | UTA 0 - 4 OTT | OTT | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:33 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 13:59 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 18:56 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 15:52 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 07:13 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 03:46 | OTT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 4 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9