Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-11-09 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

DAL: 62.5%

SEA: 37.5%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.50

SEA: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DAL at home vs SEA: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	DAL 4 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-11-26	SEA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-11-09	DAL 2 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-03-31	SEA 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-03-29	SEA 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	14	1	1.14
1	SEA	9	0	0.36
2	DAL	11	1	0.99
2	SEA	21	0	1.46
3	DAL	12	1	0.98
3	SEA	11	0	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6