Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-11-09 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 2 - 0 Calgary Flames

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 57.3%

CGY: 42.7%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.33

CGY: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

CGY

Devin Cooley - 4-4-2 | 0.914 SV% | 2.40 GAA

Stat	MIN	CGY
Season SV%	0.928	0.914
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.21	2.40

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	36	36	0	100.0%	2.47	1	2.47
CGY	Devin Cooley	19	17	2	89.5%	3.11	3	1.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • MIN at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	MIN 4 - 1 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-12-04	CGY 4 - 1 MIN	CGY	MIN
2025-11-09	MIN 2 - 0 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-04-11	CGY 4 - 2 MIN	CGY	CGY
2025-01-25	MIN 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	1	0.75
1	CGY	17	0	0.65
2	MIN	12	0	0.58
2	CGY	16	1	0.92
3	MIN	8	2	1.78
3	CGY	20	0	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown