Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-11-09 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 33.6%
COL: 66.4%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.53
COL: 4.21
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 51%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • VAN at home vs COL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | COL 6 - 8 VAN | VAN | COL |
| 2025-12-02 | COL 3 - 1 VAN | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-09 | VAN 4 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-10 | COL 1 - 4 VAN | VAN | COL |
| 2025-02-04 | VAN 3 - 0 COL | VAN | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VAN | 24 | 5 | 2.28 |
| 1 | COL | 17 | 0 | 1.26 |
| 2 | VAN | 17 | 2 | 1.42 |
| 2 | COL | 12 | 0 | 0.70 |
| 3 | VAN | 14 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 3 | COL | 15 | 1 | 1.03 |
| 4 | VAN | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | COL | 2 | 1 | 0.34 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.5 - 4.2
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