New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-11-10 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 New York Islanders (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 54.6%

NYI: 45.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.27

NYI: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NJD at home vs NYI: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	16	3	1.45
1	NYI	9	0	0.25
2	NJD	19	0	1.19
2	NYI	9	0	0.59
3	NJD	18	1	1.30
3	NYI	8	1	0.67
4	NJD	0	0	0.00
4	NYI	1	1	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8