Columbus Blue Jackets at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-11-10 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 63.9%

CBJ: 36.1%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.44

CBJ: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	EDM	CBJ
Season SV%	0.896	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.81	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	22	18	4	81.8%	3.17	3	-0.83
CBJ	Jet Greaves	24	19	5	79.2%	2.92	3	-2.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs CBJ: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	CBJ 5 - 4 EDM	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-10	EDM 5 - 4 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-12-05	EDM 6 - 3 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-10-28	CBJ 6 - 1 EDM	CBJ	CBJ
2024-03-07	CBJ 4 - 2 EDM	CBJ	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	13	1	0.95
1	CBJ	9	0	0.56
2	EDM	10	1	0.89
2	CBJ	25	2	1.83
3	EDM	11	1	0.88
3	CBJ	10	1	0.66
4	EDM	2	0	0.21
4	CBJ	1	0	0.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8