Los Angeles Kings at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-11-11 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 53.4%
LAK: 46.6%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.18
LAK: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 46%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | MTL | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs LAK: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | LAK 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | LAK |
| 2025-11-11 | MTL 1 - 5 LAK | LAK | MTL |
| 2025-02-05 | LAK 6 - 3 MTL | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-10-17 | MTL 1 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2023-12-07 | MTL 0 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.