Los Angeles Kings at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-11-11 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 51.5%

LAK: 48.5%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.15

LAK: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs LAK: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	LAK 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	LAK
2025-11-11	MTL 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	MTL
2025-02-05	LAK 6 - 3 MTL	LAK	LAK
2024-10-17	MTL 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-12-07	MTL 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	13	0	1.01
1	LAK	19	2	1.40
2	MTL	13	0	0.62
2	LAK	13	2	1.42
3	MTL	14	1	0.78
3	LAK	13	2	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2