Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-11-11 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 4 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 55.1%

WSH: 44.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.71

WSH: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CAR at home vs WSH: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	12	1	1.11
1	WSH	16	0	0.74
2	CAR	18	1	1.54
2	WSH	12	1	0.81
3	CAR	18	2	1.35
3	WSH	11	2	1.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 4.7 - 2.8