Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-11-11 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

STL: 52.2%

CGY: 47.8%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.21

CGY: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs CGY: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	STL
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	CGY
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	15	1	1.33
1	CGY	14	0	0.64
2	STL	17	1	1.44
2	CGY	16	2	1.18
3	STL	9	0	0.27
3	CGY	22	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0