San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-11-11 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 San Jose Sharks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 62.7%

SJS: 37.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.44

SJS: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs SJS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-01-11	SJS 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.88
1	SJS	9	1	0.62
2	MIN	20	1	1.54
2	SJS	8	0	0.37
3	MIN	12	0	0.42
3	SJS	13	0	0.94
4	MIN	0	0	0.00
4	SJS	1	0	0.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9