San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-11-11 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 San Jose Sharks (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 59.5%
SJS: 40.5%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.52
SJS: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | MIN | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.894 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • MIN at home vs SJS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | SJS 4 - 3 MIN | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-11-11 | MIN 1 - 2 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-10-26 | MIN 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-04-09 | MIN 8 - 7 SJS | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-11 | SJS 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 05:02 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 11:57 | MIN | Goal |
| 4 | 02:41 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.5 - 3.1