Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-11-11 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

COL: 76.4%

ANA: 23.6%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.83

ANA: 2.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • COL at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	ANA 1 - 5 COL	COL	ANA
2026-01-21	COL 1 - 2 ANA	ANA	COL
2025-11-11	COL 4 - 1 ANA	COL	COL
2025-04-13	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-20	ANA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	18	1	1.50
1	ANA	15	1	1.23
2	COL	16	1	1.07
2	ANA	11	0	0.64
3	COL	17	1	1.75
3	ANA	19	0	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.4