Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-11-11 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 52.5%

WPG: 47.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.04

WPG: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	15	0	1.01
1	WPG	16	2	1.18
2	VAN	13	1	0.85
2	WPG	16	1	1.53
3	VAN	22	0	1.12
3	WPG	13	3	1.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2