TBL vs NYR - 2025-11-12
2025-11-12 • Benchmark International Arena
TBL 3 - 7 NYR
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 64.1%
NYR: 35.9%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.16
NYR: 2.64
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:09 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 03:31 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 06:04 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 07:08 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 13:59 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 16:20 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 17:32 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 18:19 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 05:03 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:49 | NYR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
TBL 3 - 7 NYR
Expected: 3.2 - 2.6