Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-11-12 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

Win Probability

PHI: 48.4%

EDM: 51.6%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.24

EDM: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	EDM 2 - 5 PHI	PHI	EDM
2025-11-12	PHI 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-02-22	PHI 6 - 3 EDM	PHI	PHI
2024-10-15	EDM 4 - 3 PHI	EDM	EDM
2024-01-02	EDM 5 - 2 PHI	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	11	0	0.52
1	EDM	16	0	0.73
2	PHI	9	0	0.57
2	EDM	15	1	0.95
3	PHI	13	0	1.01
3	EDM	8	0	0.46
4	PHI	1	0	0.19
4	EDM	2	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9