Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-11-12 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 58.5%

EDM: 41.5%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.37

EDM: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

PHI

Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PHI at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	EDM 2 - 5 PHI	PHI	EDM
2025-11-12	PHI 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	PHI
2025-02-22	PHI 6 - 3 EDM	PHI	EDM
2024-10-15	EDM 4 - 3 PHI	EDM	EDM
2024-01-02	EDM 5 - 2 PHI	EDM	EDM

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7