Buffalo Sabres at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-11-12 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 57.1%
BUF: 42.9%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.27
BUF: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | UTA | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.919 | 0.943 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs BUF: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | UTA 5 - 2 BUF | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-04 | BUF 1 - 2 UTA | UTA | BUF |
| 2025-03-20 | UTA 5 - 2 BUF | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-07 | BUF 2 - 5 UTA | UTA | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:33 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 10:42 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 06:42 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:33 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 10:09 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 03:22 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 00:52 | UTA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8