Buffalo Sabres at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-11-12 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

UTA: 59.2%

BUF: 40.8%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.69

BUF: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • UTA at home vs BUF: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-12	UTA 5 - 2 BUF	UTA	UTA
2025-11-04	BUF 1 - 2 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-20	UTA 5 - 2 BUF	UTA	UTA
2024-12-07	BUF 2 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	18	0	0.87
1	BUF	13	0	0.71
2	UTA	16	1	0.80
2	BUF	16	2	1.50
3	UTA	17	2	2.23
3	BUF	8	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.7 - 2.9