New Jersey Devils at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-11-12 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 43.7%

NJD: 56.3%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.91

NJD: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Stat	CHI	NJD
Season SV%	0.909	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	3.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	37	33	4	89.2%	3.05	0	-0.95
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	20	17	3	85.0%	2.27	1	-0.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CHI at home vs NJD: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	NJD 5 - 3 CHI	NJD	NJD
2025-11-12	CHI 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-03-26	CHI 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-12-14	NJD 4 - 1 CHI	NJD	NJD
2024-01-05	NJD 4 - 2 CHI	NJD	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	0	1.24
1	NJD	14	0	0.54
2	CHI	5	1	0.41
2	NJD	20	0	1.15
3	CHI	11	0	0.47
3	NJD	18	0	0.87
4	CHI	2	0	0.16
4	NJD	4	0	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5