Los Angeles Kings at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-11-13 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

Win Probability

TOR: 45.2%

LAK: 54.8%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.23

LAK: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	LAK 7 - 6 TOR	LAK	LAK
2025-11-13	TOR 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-29	LAK 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	LAK
2024-10-16	TOR 6 - 2 LAK	TOR	TOR
2024-01-02	LAK 0 - 3 TOR	TOR	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	12	1	1.16
1	LAK	23	3	2.01
2	TOR	5	0	0.52
2	LAK	15	0	0.85
3	TOR	9	0	0.37
3	LAK	22	2	1.48
4	TOR	0	0	0.00
4	LAK	1	0	0.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9