Dallas Stars at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-11-13 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 7 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

MTL: 49.2%

DAL: 50.8%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.11

DAL: 3.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs DAL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-04	DAL 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	DAL
2025-11-13	MTL 0 - 7 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-01-16	DAL 1 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-01-11	MTL 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-02-10	MTL 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	16	0	1.15
1	DAL	11	0	0.68
2	MTL	7	0	0.51
2	DAL	10	0	1.07
3	MTL	16	1	1.14
3	DAL	7	1	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 7 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.6