Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-11-13 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 5 - 3 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

OTT: 67.7%

BOS: 32.3%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.54

BOS: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • OTT at home vs BOS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	BOS 2 - 6 OTT	OTT	BOS
2025-11-13	OTT 5 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-06	BOS 3 - 2 OTT	BOS	OTT
2025-10-27	OTT 7 - 2 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-03-13	OTT 6 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	15	0	0.84
1	BOS	6	0	0.09
2	OTT	5	0	0.16
2	BOS	17	1	1.17
3	OTT	11	2	1.38
3	BOS	9	1	1.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 5 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7