Anaheim Ducks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-11-13 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 6 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

DET: 56.1%

ANA: 43.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.68

ANA: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DET

John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Stat	DET	ANA
Season SV%	0.893	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.97	3.15

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	John Gibson	28	25	3	89.3%	2.72	0	-0.28
ANA	Lukas Dostal	33	27	6	81.8%	3.14	2	-2.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	DET 6 - 3 ANA	DET	DET
2025-10-31	ANA 5 - 2 DET	ANA	ANA
2025-02-23	DET 5 - 4 ANA	DET	ANA
2024-11-15	ANA 6 - 4 DET	ANA	ANA
2024-01-07	ANA 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	15	0	0.83
1	ANA	13	0	0.99
2	DET	20	1	1.31
2	ANA	14	0	0.89
3	DET	9	1	1.00
3	ANA	20	0	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown