Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-11-13 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 6 - 3 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 46.4%

WSH: 53.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.13

WSH: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • FLA at home vs WSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	WSH 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	WSH
2025-12-29	FLA 5 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-11-13	FLA 6 - 3 WSH	FLA	WSH
2025-03-22	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH
2025-02-04	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	12	0	0.83
1	WSH	22	0	0.93
2	FLA	16	1	1.47
2	WSH	19	0	0.76
3	FLA	16	1	1.66
3	WSH	21	0	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 6 - 3 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4