Edmonton Oilers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-11-13 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 60.7%

EDM: 39.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.72

EDM: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Stat	CBJ	EDM
Season SV%	0.909	0.874
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	3.69

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	29	25	4	86.2%	3.23	1	-0.77
EDM	Calvin Pickard	25	20	5	80.0%	3.80	7	-1.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CBJ at home vs EDM: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	CBJ 5 - 4 EDM	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-10	EDM 5 - 4 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-12-05	EDM 6 - 3 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-10-28	CBJ 6 - 1 EDM	CBJ	CBJ
2024-03-07	CBJ 4 - 2 EDM	CBJ	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	14	3	1.32
1	EDM	9	0	0.47
2	CBJ	20	3	2.05
2	EDM	15	0	0.67
3	CBJ	6	1	0.44
3	EDM	25	1	2.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown